Tuesday, May 11, 2021

Today by Rachel Withers


Spendathon or spinathon?
With an election looming, the Coalition seeks a political recovery

Image of Treasurer Josh Frydenberg delivering the federal budget. Image via ABC News

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg delivering the federal budget. Image via ABC News

“Australia is coming back.” This was how Treasurer Josh Frydenberg both opened and closed his third federal budget speech (and his second within a COVID-19 context), hammering the “recovery” theme – though at times it wasn’t clear whether the focus was on pandemic recovery or political recovery ahead of the upcoming election. Australia may be “coming back”, but the surplus certainly is not: as was foreshadowed, there was no pivot towards austerity, and still no end to the deficits in sight, although there were revisions to the forecasts, with those for 2020–21 revised down to $161 billion ($52.7 billion lower than the latest prediction). Days of widely spruiked multibillion-dollar spending drops on aged care, infrastructure, tax, mental health and “women’s issues” left very little to be revealed in tonight’s big show, although we finally got our hands on the official totals for the big-ticket items: $17.7 billion for aged care (over five years, not four), $15.2 billion over 10 years for infrastructure projects (though none are particularly transformative), $30 billion in tax cuts and breaks (though mostly to small business), $2.3 billion for mental health, and a larger-than-expected $1.1 billion to women’s safety measures (including $261.4 million for frontline family, domestic and sexual violence services). Frydenberg had insisted, over the weekend, that the big-spending budget would not be a “spendathon”, though that’s exactly how all those cash splashes made it seem. So was it a spendathon or a spinathon?

Many of the top headlines surrounding tonight’s budget – whether from The Australian or The Guardian, the ABC or Nine – have focused on its big-spending on services, or its “spending splurge”, with a $106 billion deficit predicted for 2021–2022, despite so many of the government’s pandemic supports having already been withdrawn. It certainly does appear to be a cash-heavy budget. While plenty of groups missed out, there doesn’t appear to have been any major cuts. Nine political editor Peter Hartcher writes that when he asked Frydenberg whether there were any cuts in the budget, “he merely emphasised that it was ‘a pandemic budget’”, while the “losers” sections of the media’s ultra-simplified “winners and losers” lists are shorter than usual (both Nine and News Corp list “future generations” as the top loser). But how much cash was really splashed? Plenty of the billions come in the form of tax cuts, rather than services spending: $7.2 billion to continue the low and middle-income tax offset for another year (though this is more an absence of a tax increase than a cut, despite Frydenberg’s insistence on calling it a “new and additional tax cut”), and $20 billion in further tax breaks for small businesses.

And while some of the figures being added to services are eye-watering, many believe the budget doesn’t go anywhere near far enough in its spending. The aged-care boost falls well short of the $10 billion a year being called for, while the long-awaited “women-friendly” budget – aimed at addressing the perception that the Coalition doesn’t care about women – involves a lot of returning of money to services that had been cut for years. The budget fails to provide any specific funding to renewables or universities, the ABC notes (The Australian, for its part, notes that the ABC has missed out), while its silence on climate change and the arts are disappointing but not surprising. Nine’s economics editor Ross Gittins calls it the “couldabeen budget”, adding that “as a pre-election vote-buying budget it hardly rates”.

Couldabeen or not, the government has aimed to please as many people as possible with what is very likely a pre-election budget, papering over some political weaknesses (women and aged care), while hoping to upset as few groups as possible. Most of its major spending promises were widely canvassed ahead of budget night, to ensure proper attention for each individual billion, and those billions are continuing to get plenty of coverage tonight, as analysts begin the task of determining just how effectively the big spending has been targeted. For all his claims that the budget isn’t a spendathon, that’s certainly the picture Frydenberg has managed to create, and the impression many are going to walk away with.


“It’s not real…”

Acting Victorian Premier James Merlino is dubious about touted federal budget spending promises.

“We have found that some individuals have not met the JobKeeper residency requirements and were not eligible to receive JobKeeper payments.”

The tax office is trying to recover JobKeeper payments from migrant workers who were not eligible because of their visa status. One man was asked to repay nearly $30,000 after the ATO encouraged him to submit an application.

The terror arrests you missed
Australia’s security agencies have introduced new terminology to talk about the threats we face, but they are carefully avoiding the term “right wing”. Today, Lydia Khalil on what’s behind this change and why the language we use to describe a threat matters.

The extra money delivered to Australia from the sky-high iron-ore price, mostly courtesy of China.

“The proposed merger of Crown with Star will renew the focus on broader reforms for the casino industry in Australia, recommended by commissioner Patricia Bergin SC. These included a new a new independent casino authority in NSW, banning junkets and enhanced requirements for suitability.”

The potential merger of Crown Resorts and Star Entertainment will increase the pressure on state governments, casino regulators and casino operators to permanently end the use of junket companies that bring international gamblers to Australia.

The list
 

“What Lockwood manages to do singularly well is synthesise the voice of the internet. Her sentences are laden with the absurdity and sanctimoniousness, the irony and horniness, of online discourse. It is as if she has trained herself on thousands of hours of internet language, like an AI bot, to become the modern tone incarnate. To internalise the voice of the internet comes at a cost. Lockwood, who has been prominent online most of her adult life, has spoken of her mind being overwhelmed, ‘poisoned’ even, by the medium’s polyphonic scream.”

“In 2019, the CCP released an app, Xuéxí qiángguó 学习强国, which can mean either ‘study and strengthen the nation’ or ‘study Xi and strengthen the nation’. A gamified, digital Little Red Book, political study session and pocket dang’an (personal file) in one, the app lets users earn points while mastering Xi Jinping Thought. The CCP required its members and many government workers to spend time on the app every day, with real-world consequences depending on how well they applied themselves.”

“When the South Australian coroner resumed hearing evidence as part of the inquest into the death in custody of Wayne Fella Morrison last week, it had been five years since his death and two since the court last sat. Latoya Rule, his sibling, says their family has been living under a microscope since the 29-year-old Wiradjuri, Kokatha and Wirangu man died while being held on remand … In that time, they say, their family’s mourning has been put on hold. Their public statements have been monitored for anything that may disrupt the process and there have been no real answers – and no real accountability.”

Rachel Withers

Rachel Withers is the contributing editor of The Monthly Today.

@rachelrwithers

 

The Monthly Today

Image of Health Minister Greg Hunt. Image via ABC News

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State leaders feel the strain over the federal government’s latest vaccine mishap

Image of Health Minister Greg Hunt. Image via ABC News

Another ‘challenge’

The government insists the latest vaccine setback isn’t a big deal

Image of Acting Prime Minister Michael McCormack in Question Time. Image via ABC News

A heated environment

Canberra remains stuck in a debate that the rest of the world has moved on from

Image of Immigration Minister Alex Hawke. Image via ABC News

Holding patterns

The Coalition hopes its cruel halfway measure will be enough to make us forget about the Biloela family


From the front page

Image of Health Minister Greg Hunt. Image via ABC News

Supply and demands

State leaders feel the strain over the federal government’s latest vaccine mishap

Alien renaissance

A revived interest in alien visitation only underscores how little we know about the universe

Cartoon image of man with head in the clouds

The return of the lucky country

The pandemic has exposed the truth of Donald Horne’s phrase, and the morbid state of our national leadership

Image from ‘My Name Is Gulpilil’

Like no actor ever: ‘My Name Is Gulpilil’

Molly Reynolds’s beautiful documentary is a fitting tribute to David Gulpilil, at the end of his singular life