Thursday, June 18, 2020

Today by Paddy Manning

Dark times
The PM loves jobs and hates welfare … but is pushing more people onto the dole

Image of Prime Minister Scott Morrison during Question Time.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison during Question Time. Image © Sam Mooy / Getty Images

Prime Minister Scott Morrison found his inner evangelical preacher while discussing the grim May employment figures, which showed that 835,000 jobs have been lost over the past two months, one in five Australians is either unemployed or underemployed, and the participation rate (at 62.9 per cent) is its lowest since 2001, pointing to the fact that many people have given up looking for work. Morrison said the government had introduced “the biggest measure of income support the country has ever seen to cushion the blow, but the blow is still devastating and great”. He continued: “These are our dark times, but I can see that ray of light, and I’m sure Australians can see that too, but we have to keep moving towards it and work harder each and every day. We will not rest.” There are occasions when Morrison is convincing. On the floor in parliament recently, his voice cracked as he sympathised with grieving families who were restricted to funerals of 10 people, and his horror at the unemployment rate likewise feels genuine. Asked today about youth unemployment, for example, Morrison waxed lyrical about the risk that if people did not find work before they are aged 22 to 25, “that can lead to lifetime welfare dependency. Now, that is not just a sickening loss to the person themselves and a great waste of human capacity, but the long-term effects for the nation are significant”.

Fully 45 per cent of the 227,000 jobs lost in May were among young people, taking youth unemployment to a record 16.1 per cent. Morrison hoped that young workers, after being hit hardest in the COVID recession, would be the first hired as the economy reopened – a process that only began in June. He acknowledged that given the unprecedented drop in the participation rate – 3 percentage points in three months – the true unemployment rate is much higher, at 11.3 per cent, than the official rate of 7.1 per cent. 

Morrison’s focus on getting almost a million people back into jobs is irreproachable, so it is a mystery why so many of the government’s policy decisions seem to be forcing more people into unemployment right now. The PM dead-batted questions about his intentions with the JobKeeper and JobSeeker schemes ahead of a major update on July 23, but the AFR has reported that [$] the government’s preference is to end JobKeeper at the end of September as scheduled and move any workers still on the scheme by September onto the JobSeeker unemployment benefit. Asked about this report in Question Time, the Morrison gave a kind of non-denial denial, saying “the article the member refers to does not contain direct quotes from me so that’s an editorial position that’s been summarised by the Financial Review, but I’ll simply say this: the purposes when you go on to JobSeeker is that you get people back into a job”. Likewise The West Australian reported that [$] the treasurer was meeting with government backbenchers to identify which sectors would be kicked off JobKeeper early, and moved onto a raised JobSeeker. In response, shadow treasurer Jim Chalmers said: “It beggars belief, when faced with hundreds of thousands of job losses, that the government’s top priority is to find a way to end JobKeeper. They are talking about fast-forwarding people out of work and onto welfare.” 

So, not only has JobKeeper fallen spectacularly short of its estimated take-up and excluded millions of people unfairly (migrant workers, short-term casuals, arts and entertainment workers, and university staff), but the government is now proposing to kick more people off it ASAP and, when the September cliff approaches, dump everyone else on the dole. If that’s “cushioning the blow”, it’s a small cushion with a hole in it and not much stuffing. And, at the same time as the government is refusing to aid the arts industry, it is refusing to increase caps on domestic places at universities that might allow out-of-work people to study, forcing even more people onto the dole. Scott Morrison admitted today that the unemployment rate was going to get higher. He knows it, because he is making it happen. 

“These comments are completely unacceptable and inappropriate. And I’ve counselled Mr Byrne about his language and the inappropriateness of those comments.”

Labor leader Anthony Albanese condemns a series of texts sent to dumped Victorian MP Adem Somyurek by federal backbencher Anthony Byrne, while supporting his continuation as deputy chair of the Parliamentary Joint Committee on Intelligence and Security.

“I want a world in which we send you Marmite, you send us Vegemite, we send you Penguins, and you send us, with reduced tariffs, these wonderful Arnott’s Tim Tams. How long can the British people be deprived of the opportunity to have Arnott’s Tim Tams at a reasonable price?”

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson talks up the purported benefits of a free-trade agreement between the UK and Australia.

The racism case Victoria Police didn’t want
As debate over police accountability continues, research suggests predictive policing may be targeting racial minorities in Australia. Victoria Police has been challenged in court on the issue, but settled the case to avoid a finding against them.

The amount charged to taxpayers by then shadow treasurer Chris Bowen, using his parliamentary travel allowance, for a four-hour trip to Adelaide in February 2018, where he attended a $500-a-head Labor party fundraiser.

“Parties to a proceeding who fail to comply with orders made are possibly guilty of a contempt of court and thereby exposed to sanctions ranging from the imposition of a fine through to (in an appropriate case) imprisonment … It is, to say the least, regrettable that those responsible for administering the Migration Act in accordance with law have deliberately decided to administer that legislation in a manner contrary to law.”

Federal Court judge Geoffrey Flick lays down the law for Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton, who has failed to make a decision on whether to grant a protection visa to an Iranian man detained since December 2016.

The list

“Tan has a talent for bringing to life the skewed and desultory habits of her lonely characters, but she also adds a mediative and poetic gloss to her narration. She has a voice that can shift in a moment from ironic meme-style humour into resonant, lyrical passages that suggest a potentially limitless empathy. The stories in Smart Ovens for Lonely People, short as they are, have a surprising throw-weight and will blow the rusty hinges off even the most jaded imagination. But they will also console and encourage and invigorate.”

“Australia’s greed for Timor-Leste’s resources dates to 1963, when it issued an exploration licence for Greater Sunrise to Australian oil and gas company Woodside Petroleum. After the events of 1965–66, in which the Indonesian army and its civilian collaborators massacred up to a million Indonesian communists and leftists, negotiations were launched to draw the maritime boundary between Indonesian West Timor and Australia. In 1972, in recognition of Australia’s support for his regime, President Suharto agreed to a preposterously generous boundary, drawn almost at the edge of what Australia claims as its continental shelf, close to West Timor’s southern coastline.”

“The New South Wales government prepared a confidential report congratulating itself on how it managed the March 19 arrival of the Ruby Princess cruise ship, which was responsible for the largest single outbreak of COVID-19 in Australia, including 26 deaths here and overseas. The undated and unattributed report, which was tendered into evidence at the Ruby Princess inquiry this week, appears to blame the federal government for what became at least 1000 COVID-19 cases. It defends the NSW Health assessment process that designated the ship as ‘low risk’ ahead of it docking in Sydney.”

Paddy Manning

Paddy Manning has worked for the ABC, Fairfax, Crikey and The Australian. He is the author of Body Count: How Climate Change Is Killing Us, Inside the Greens and Born To Rule: The Unauthorised Biography of Malcolm Turnbull.


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