June 17, 2013

Morgan: Tony Abbott now leads Julia Gillard as ‘Better Prime Minister’ but majority of electors still disapprove of both

By Roy Morgan Research
Morgan: Tony Abbott now leads Julia Gillard as ‘Better Prime Minister’ but majority of electors still disapprove of both

Opposition Leader Tony Abbott now clearly leads Julia Gillard as better Prime Minister (47%, up 11% since November 2012) over Prime Minister Julia Gillard (35%, down 14%) according to a special telephone Morgan Poll conducted over the last two nights (June 11/12, 2013).

  • Significantly, for the first time more women think Tony Abbott (42%, up 5%) would make a ‘Better Prime Minister’ than Julia Gillard (38%, down 11%).
     
  • However, former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd is still clearly preferred to Tony Abbott as Better Prime Minister: Rudd (50%, down 9% since March 2011) cf. Abbott (43%, up 11%);
     
  • In contrast, Abbott is clearly preferred as better Prime Minister to Employment and Workplace Relations Minister Bill Shorten: Abbott (49%) cf. Shorten (36%).
 

Job Performance – Approve/Disapprove

A record high 65% (up 17%) of electors disapprove of Prime Minister Julia Gillard’s handling of her job as Prime Minister compared to only 27% (down 15%) who approve.

While a majority of Australian electors (51%, down 12%) disapprove of Opposition Leader Tony Abbott’s handling of the job as Opposition Leader, this is down from a record high 63% in November 2012 and now 41%, up 13% approve – the highest since March 2011.

Significantly, a clear majority of women disapprove (60%, up 13%) of Prime Minister Gillard’s handling of the job as Prime Minister compared to only 30% (down 11%) who approve. However, more women disapprove (54%, down 10%) of Opposition Leader Abbott’s handling of the job than approve (39%, up 14%).

 

Gary Morgan says:

“For the first time this special telephone Morgan Poll shows Opposition Leader Tony Abbott (47%, up 11% since November 2012) now leads Prime Minister Julia Gillard (35%, down 14%) as ‘Better Prime Minister’.”

“However, former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd (50%, down 9% since March 2011) still leads Abbott (43%, up 11%) when the two are compared. In contrast Abbott (49%) clearly leads Employment and Workplace Relations Minister Bill Shorten (36%) on the same question.

“Another Morgan Poll conducted in conjunction shows that Australian electors clearly prefer former leaders Kevin Rudd and Malcolm Turnbull to the current leaders for each of the major parties. 33% (down 1%) prefer Kevin Rudd far ahead of the 14% (down 8%) that prefer Julia Gillard as preferred Labor Leader while former Liberal Leader Malcolm Turnbull (47%, down 3%) is even further ahead of both Tony Abbott (18%, up 3%) and Shadow Treasurer Joe Hockey (19%, up 1%) as preferred Liberal Leader.”

This special telephone Morgan Poll was conducted over the last two nights of June 11/12, 2013, with an Australia-wide cross section of 475 electors.

 

Federal Voting Intention

As with all Roy Morgan surveys Federal voting intention was asked. Based on a sample of 475 electors this telephone Morgan Poll showed the L-NP (59%) cf. ALP (41%) on a two-party preferred basis. The primary vote showed the L-NP (50.5%), ALP (26%), Greens (12%) and Independent/ Others (11.5%).

This result is identical to last week’s telephone Morgan Poll on a two-party preferred basis which also showed the L-NP (59%) cf. ALP (41%) and also very similar to last weekend’s telephone Newspoll which showed the L-NP (58%) cf. ALP (42%) on a two-party preferred basis and primary voting intention of L-NP (49%), ALP (30%), Greens (9%) and Independent/ Others (12%).

Both the telephone Morgan Poll and telephone Newspoll recorded a higher L-NP vote than recorded in last weekend’s multi-mode Morgan Poll of 3,369 Australian electors which showed the L-NP (56%) cf. ALP (44%). Primary voting intention of L-NP (46%), ALP (31%), Greens (9.5%) and Independent/ Others (13.5%).

 

Click here for full poll details

Roy Morgan Research

Roy Morgan Research (est. 1941) is the only Australian-owned independent polling company not owned by a media organisation, and at the last federal election theirs was the most accurate of the four major polls.

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