May 21, 2013

The Morgan Poll: L-NP Lead Steady After Budget Week

By Roy Morgan Research
The Morgan Poll: L-NP Lead Steady After Budget Week

Last weekend’s multi-mode weekly Morgan Poll shows support for the L-NP down 1% at 55% over the past week (since May 10-12, 2013) cf. ALP 45% (up 1%) on a two-party preferred basis.

The L-NP primary vote is 45.5% (down 1%) still well ahead of the ALP 32% (unchanged). Among the minor parties Greens support is 10% (up 0.5%) and Independents/ Others are 12.5% (up 0.5%).

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating fell slightly to 102pts (down 1pt in a week) with 44% (up 2%) saying Australia is ‘heading in the right direction’ and 42% (up 3%) saying Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan & this week’s 2013 Federal Budget

A special Online Morgan Poll conducted over the last few days shows that Australian electors are not impressed with Treasurer Wayne Swan’s Federal Budget – 29% say it is ‘bad’ (up 4% from a year ago); 49% (up 6%) say it is ‘average’ and only 15% (down 4%) say it is ‘good’ while 7% (down 5%) can’t say.

In addition, although the majority of electors (57%) think the Budget will ‘have little effect’ on unemployment, clearly more electors think the Budget will have a negative impact on unemployment – 24% believe the Federal Budget will cause unemployment to ‘get worse’ compared to only 7% that think it will reduce unemployment while 12% can’t say.

Similarly, Australian electors do not believe the Budget will boost confidence in Australia’s economic future. Nearly half of Australian electors (48%) say the Federal Budget makes them feel ‘less confident’ about Australia’s economic future compared to 33% that say they feel ‘no different’ while only 15% say they feel ‘more confident’ and 4% can’t say.
 

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Roy Morgan Research

Roy Morgan Research (est. 1941) is the only Australian-owned independent polling company not owned by a media organisation, and at the last federal election theirs was the most accurate of the four major polls.

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