May 14, 2013

L-NP Maintains Strong Lead: 56-44

By Roy Morgan Research
L-NP Maintains Strong Lead: 56-44

Last weekend’s multi-mode weekly Morgan Poll shows support for the L-NP unchanged at 56% over the past week since May 3-5, 2013) cf. ALP 44% (also unchanged) on a two-party preferred basis.

The L-NP primary vote is 46.5% (up 0.5%) well ahead of the ALP 32% (unchanged). Among the minor parties Greens support is 9.5% (up 1%) and Independents/ Others are 12% (down 1.5%).

With the RBA’s decision to drop interest rates by 0.25% to 2.75% the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating rose to 103pts (up 7pts in a week) with 42% (up 4%) saying Australia is ‘heading in the right direction’ and 39% (down 3%) saying Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan & this week’s 2013 Federal Budget

A special SMS Morgan Poll conducted over the last few days shows Australian electors do not have high expectations for Treasurer Wayne Swan’s sixth Federal Budget to be delivered tomorrow. An overwhelming majority of Australian electors (84%) believe tomorrow’s Federal Budget will not benefit them and their family compared to only 16% that believe tomorrow’s Federal Budget will.

A separate Morgan Poll asked of online respondents shows a clear majority of Australian electors (54.5%) do not approve of Wayne Swan’s handling of the job as Treasurer compared to only 28% that do approve while 17.5% can’t say.

Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision last week to cut Australian interest rates to an all-time low of 2.75% (down 0.25%), online respondents were asked what the RBA should do at its next meeting in early June – 50% of Australian electors believe the RBA should leave interest rates unchanged in June, 26% believe the RBA should cut interest rates, 9% believe the RBA should increase interest rates and 15% can’t say.

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Roy Morgan Research

Roy Morgan Research (est. 1941) is the only Australian-owned independent polling company not owned by a media organisation, and at the last federal election theirs was the most accurate of the four major polls.

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