April 30, 2013

The Morgan Poll: L-NP Strengthens Lead

By Roy Morgan Research
The Morgan Poll: L-NP Strengthens Lead

L-NP 58% (up 3.5%) lead gains strongly over ALP 42% (down 3.5%)

Last weekend’s multi-mode Morgan Poll shows support for the L-NP jumping to 58% (up 3.5% since April 18-21, 2013) cf. ALP 42% (down 3.5%) on a two-party preferred basis.


The L-NP primary vote is 48% (up 4%) easily ahead of the ALP 30.5% (down 2%). Among the minor parties Greens support is 11% (up 0.5%) and Independents/ Others are 10.5% (down 2.5%).

Gary Morgan says:
“Today’s Morgan Poll shows a strong improvement for the Opposition with the L-NP (58%, up 3.5%) substantially increasing its lead over the ALP (42%, down 3.5%) on the weekend before Prime Minister Julia Gillard announced a Federal Budget ‘blowout’ to a $12 billion deficit, despite promising for years that the 2012/13 Federal Budget would be in surplus. Today’s Morgan Poll is a similar result to the Morgan Poll at the start of April which showed the L-NP (59%) cf. ALP (41%) on a two-party preferred basis.
“The large Federal Budget deficit makes it imperative that the RBA cuts Australian interest rates at its May meeting next week by at least 0.5% to stimulate the Australian economy which will  encourage businesses to make new investments and begin hiring again – the latest Roy Morgan March unemployment estimate shows a very high  2.31 million (18.2%) Australians are either unemployed or under-employed.
“A special Morgan Poll question asked online last week of 1,142 respondents shows that although a majority of Australian electors (56%) approve of the Prime Minister’s Education Plan compared to 32% that disapprove and 12% that can’t say, when asked ‘What do you believe is the best way to improve our schools’ – 44% said ‘Higher teaching standards’; 22% ‘Increased funding’; 19.5% ‘Smaller Education bureaucracy’; 9% ‘Greater autonomy for school principals’ and 5.5% can’t say.
“These results show that although Education is traditionally seen as a ‘Labor issue’ and most Australians do support higher funding for our schools, more Australians believe ‘higher teaching standards’ are the best way to improve our schools and merely increasing funding for Education (as people would expect of a Labor Government) is not, by itself, a proven vote-winner for the Government.”

 

Roy Morgan Research

Roy Morgan Research (est. 1941) is the only Australian-owned independent polling company not owned by a media organisation, and at the last federal election theirs was the most accurate of the four major polls.

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